Spineshatter Alliance

Median 3-day move

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

• Tome of Conjure FoodStrong Buy | profit 8g 98s | confidence Low 48%
• Karrog's SpineStrong Buy | profit 8g 21s | confidence High 80%
• Gezzarak's ClawsStrong Buy | profit 6g 49s | confidence High 81%
• ShadowclothStrong Buy | profit 5g 64s | confidence Low 41%
• Vakkiz's ScaleStrong Buy | profit 4g 19s | confidence Low 27%
• Tourmaline LoopStrong Buy | profit 3g 29s | confidence Low 44%
• DawnstoneStrong Buy | profit 2g 82s | confidence Low 37%
• Azurite RingStrong Buy | profit 2g 75s | confidence Low 44%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

• Tender Crab Meatprice 911g 23s | move +507837.3% | sold/day 16.6
• Thorium Headed Arrowprice 8g 55s | move +55094.2% | sold/day 1,309.0
• Heavy Grinding Stoneprice 70g 0s | move +9255.8% | sold/day 81.7
• Blood Shardprice 18s 0c | move +6823.1% | sold/day 41.1
• Dust of Decayprice 9s 20c | move +3185.7% | sold/day 16.6
• Rockshard Pelletsprice 49s 0c | move +3166.7% | sold/day 202.4
• White Spider Meatprice 89s 41c | move +2774.9% | sold/day 309.3
• Runn Tum Tuberprice 25s 67c | move +1970.2% | sold/day 70.2

Shortage Watch

• Mithril Gyro-Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 905.3 | change -
• Crafted Light Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 125.6 | change -
• Crafted Heavy Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 84.4 | change -
• Rotting Heartsupply 0 | sold/day 71.0 | change -
• Green Hills of Stranglethorn - Page 8supply 0 | sold/day 18.3 | change -
• Akkarai's Talonssupply 0 | sold/day 15.1 | change -
• Scorpid Stingersupply 0 | sold/day 13.1 | change -
• Purple Smoke Flaresupply 0 | sold/day 10.9 | change -

What The AI Learned

• This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
• The feedback loop has evaluated 27 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 85%.
• Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
• Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
• High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
• The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

27 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 85%.

• Anomaly27 scored | hit rate 85%
• Other10 category calls scored | hit rate 80%
• Consumables9 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Junk5 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Crafted items2 category calls scored | hit rate 0%
• Meat1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%

Known Limits

• Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
• The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
• The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
• External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
• Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
• Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.