Nightslayer Horde

Median 3-day move

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

• Pattern: Boots of Natural GraceStrong Buy | profit 74g 94s | confidence Medium 73%
• Tome of Conjure FoodStrong Buy | profit 10g 15s | confidence Low 48%
• Earthstorm DiamondStrong Buy | profit 8g 47s | confidence Low 43%
• Felsteel HelmStrong Buy | profit 6g 6s | confidence Low 45%
• Tourmaline LoopStrong Buy | profit 5g 94s | confidence Medium 72%
• Karrog's SpineStrong Buy | profit 5g 29s | confidence High 87%
• Gezzarak's ClawsStrong Buy | profit 4g 41s | confidence Medium 64%
• Deadly Flame SpessariteStrong Buy | profit 3g 99s | confidence Medium 73%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

• Light Shotprice 9g 55s | move +9554500.0% | sold/day 24.5
• Rage Potionprice 777g 31s | move +194326.7% | sold/day 30.6
• Crafted Light Shotprice 2s 0c | move +19900.0% | sold/day 125.6
• Thorium Shellsprice 19s 73c | move +19630.0% | sold/day 3,769.8
• Impact Shotprice 99s 99c | move +17139.7% | sold/day 186.3
• Rough Dynamiteprice 66s 48c | move +12935.3% | sold/day 78.3
• Stag Meatprice 30s 97c | move +6938.6% | sold/day 31.1
• Mild Spicesprice 28s 96c | move +3867.1% | sold/day 66.3

Shortage Watch

• Mithril Gyro-Shotsupply 0 | sold/day 905.3 | change -
• Bloodthistlesupply 0 | sold/day 84.9 | change -
• Goretusk Snoutsupply 0 | sold/day 64.3 | change -
• Crag Boar Ribsupply 0 | sold/day 52.3 | change -
• Wastewander Water Pouchsupply 0 | sold/day 49.9 | change -
• Goretusk Liversupply 0 | sold/day 45.4 | change -
• Packet of Tharlendris Seedssupply 0 | sold/day 43.8 | change -
• Black Mageweave Headbandsupply 0 | sold/day 40.0 | change -

What The AI Learned

• This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
• The feedback loop has evaluated 50 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 90%.
• Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
• Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
• High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
• The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

50 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 90%.

• Anomaly50 scored | hit rate 90%
• Junk16 category calls scored | hit rate 88%
• Other16 category calls scored | hit rate 81%
• Crafted items7 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Consumables6 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Meat4 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Scroll1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%

Known Limits

• Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
• The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
• The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
• External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
• Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
• Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.